The power of a Trump visit – don't underestimate it

Thursday, October 29, 2020
 | 
Chad Groening (OneNewsNow.com)

Sen. Martha McSally and Pres. TrumpA political pundit believes President Donald Trump's visit to Arizona earlier this week will help the incumbent Republican senator there who's in a tight race that could determine the balance of the Senate.

On Wednesday, President Trump held not one but two rallies in Arizona, a state that is considered vital to his re-election effort. RCP averages show the president trailing Democrat Joe Biden by slightly more than a point in the Grand Canyon State; whereas the Trafalgar Group gives the president a four-point advantage in its recent Arizona poll.

Wednesday's rallies were also important for incumbent Republican Senator Martha McSally (pictured with the president), who is in a tough re-election fight against Democrat Mark Kelly, a former astronaut. RCP average favors Kelly by 2.7 point – and in a recent poll from the Trafalgar Group, Kelly leads McSally by almost two points (4% of those surveyed were undecided).

Rob Chambers is vice president of AFA Action, the political arm of American Family Association. He believes Trump could provide McSally a much-needed boost.

Chambers

"One thing that Democrats … might be doing is underestimating the power of President Donald J. Trump and his ability to motivate the base," he tells OneNewsNow. "When he shows up somewhere, thousands of people show up. When Biden shows up, there's drizzles of people there."

And Trump speaks the "unvarnished truth," Chambers adds.

"When Trump shows up at Arizona to campaign for Martha McSally, … he goes out there and proclaims what I believe to be political truth, political reality," says the political watchdog. "He proclaims an unvarnished truth about what the likelihood of an election of Mark Kelly would do to the Senate [and] about the judges that Mark Kelly would vote to confirm or vote to oppose."

Chambers argues that Kelly certainly would have voted against the confirmation of now-Associate Justice Amy Coney Barrett.

Presidential coattails?

The Senate race in North Carolina is a tight one as well. A recent poll from the Trafalgar Group shows the incumbent – Republican Thom Tillis – with a less-than-one-point lead over his Democrat challenger, Democrat Cal Cunningham. But more than 5% remain undecided.

Cunningham, however, has been dogged by allegations of extramarital activities with another woman, and is under investigation by the Army Reserve because such behavior is a violation of the Uniform Code of Military Justice.

AFA Action's Chambers argues that those accusations won't matter to hard-core Democrats in North Carolina – and predicts that Tillis will hold on to his Senate seat.

"To think that these Democrats are going to say 'Oh wow, he did this – so I think I'm going to vote for Thom Tillis'? I don't see that happening," he offers.

But Chambers says the Cunningham scandal could sway some of the undecided voters toward Tillis – and that President Trump could even provide some coattails for Tillis. Trafalgar currently has the president with a lead of just under two points over Joe Biden in North Carolina.


Editor's Note: AFA Action is a division of the American Family Association, the parent organization of the American Family News Network, which operates OneNewsNow.com.

10/30/2020: Comments re: North Carolina Senate race added.

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