'Massive' early voting favors Dems but GOP closing gap

Thursday, October 29, 2020
 | 
Chad Groening (OneNewsNow.com)

"I voted today" t-shirtA conservative columnist says he is encouraged by early-voting numbers across the country which historically break for the Democratic Party but show Republicans are casting ballots, too.

Battleground states such as Florida are posting record-breaking voting numbers in a state where Democrats have outvoted Republicans in mail-in ballots by approximately 596,000 in the past according to The Associated Press.

Republicans typically outperform Democrats at the polls in Florida by 230,000 voters, the AP says, which means Republicans have a lot of ground to make up on Election Day. 

According to The Miami Herald, early voting totals on Oct. 27, a week before Election Day, had eclipsed 2016 totals by approximately 200,000 ballots with seven days to go.

Across the state, 48% of Democrats and 43% of Republicans have voted as of Oct. 26, The Sun Sentinel reported.

voter casting a ballot at polling stationFlorida and its whopping 29 electoral votes went to Donald Trump in 2016, forecasting his surprise win across the country, but he narrowly won The Sunshine State by approximately 112,900 votes, or 1.2% more than Hillary Clinton. 

Washington Times columnist Robert Knight tells OneNewsNow he believes many early-voting ballots are being cast by Republican voters, too.

“Who see the chaos in cities and fear that something might happen on Election Day to prevent them from voting,” he says, “and are going ahead and casting their vote early.”

Texas voters casting ballots

In a Twitter post Thursday morning, Dave Wasserman of The Cook Political Report announced Texas has surpassed 95 percent of its 2016 total votes with two more days or early voting, and Election Day itself, still to come. 

"We're headed for a massive, upprecedented turnout there (and a lot of other places)," Wasserman commented. 

Joe Biden & Donald TrumpTexas voters delivered the state to Donald Trump 52% to 43% over Hillary Clinton in 2016, a difference of approximately 807,200 votes. 

As part of his early-voting analysis, Wasserman looked at early-voting totals in 10 Texas counties that are reporting the largest jumps --- led by 20 percent in Hays County -- in early voting over 2016 totals. 

OneNewsNow compared the 10 counties cited by Wasserman with The New York Times 2016 final results for Texas and found eight of the 10 counties went for Trump in 2016, including Hays, Montgomery, and Williamson counties where early voting has jumped 20%, 18%, and 15% respectively. 

Only two counties, Travis and Fort Bend, chose Clinton. Early voting is up 11% in Fort Bend and 6% in Travis, Wasserman reported. 

Cook, meanwhile, has moved the "red" state of Texas and its 38 electoral from "Leans Republican" to "Toss Up" a week before Election Day.

Knight

According to AP’s mid-October analysis of early voting across the country, Democrat-versus-Republican ballots were 51% to 25% on Oct. 15. Days later, the AP reported, that lead had shrunk to 51-31.

In an Oct. 25 story by PBS, published nine days before Election Day, Republicans were “narrowing the gap” on Democrats.

Democrats have traditionally pushed their voters to vote early, Knight says, “but this time around it may come back to bite them."

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