So goes Ernst, so may go the Senate

Monday, October 26, 2020
 | 
Steve Jordahl (OneNewsNow.com)

U.S. Capitol 3The Hawkeye State is in play in the 2020 election, and one of its senators is in a tight race as well.

Incumbent Joni Ernst (R) trails challenger Theresa Greenfield (D) by almost two points in the latest RealClearPolitics average. President Trump also trails Joe Biden in the state by less than one point.

At this time in 2016, President Trump had a three-point polling advantage over Hillary Clinton. He then took the state by almost ten points on Election Day.

Bob Vander Platts of Iowa's The Family Leader warns against putting too much faith in polls.

"There's no doubt it's a close race," he recognizes. "I think the closeness of the race is just a message of the political environment."

Ernst

As Iowa's Senate race is setting state records for fundraising and spending, Vander Plaats says the Democrats have marked a target. 

"They've dumped in all kinds of money. I think the last report I saw, $28 million [went] to Theresa Greenfield, when Joni Ernst only raised $7 million," the conservative relays. "Most of that $28 million came from way outside of Iowa's borders."

He says the Ernst/Greenfield race was the key to winning the Senate in 2016, and it will be again this year.

"I believe if she gets beat … on November 3rd, that may be the race that gives Chuck Schumer (D-NY) control of the US Senate," Vander Plaats warns.

Vander Plaats

Iowa is also a battleground state for the White House, so he believes it and the Senate will likely rise or fall together.

"It's possible that Trump could win and you still could lose the Senate," the family champion poses.

With that said, Vander Platts believes it would be hard to see a scenario where the GOP holds on to the US Senate if Trump loses the election.

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