By a large margin of 28 percentage points, independents disapproved of the way Democrats handled Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation process to the United States Supreme Court (SCOTUS), while the overall gap of Americans condemning the "Blue" party’s treatment of the nominee is just a little lower at around 20 points.
Senate Democrats’ smear campaign targeting now-SCOTUS Associate Justice Brett Kavanaugh has apparently backfired on them, according to a new CNN/SSRS poll that was released Monday.
The significance of independents’ disapproval will likely be a key factor in many key U.S. Senate races across the nation in November’s midterm elections.
“Independents are key indicators of elections because while those identified with either party generally vote according to their identification, independents are seen as swing votes that can decide an election,” TheBlaze pointed out.
Dems in deep …
Even though Democrats reportedly turned public sentiment against Kavanaugh, they apparently shot themselves in the foot by blatantly attacking the SCOTUS nominee.
“After a blistering confirmation battle, Justice Brett Kavanaugh will take his seat for oral arguments on the U.S. Supreme Court with a skeptical public – a majority of which opposed his nomination,” the Examiner’s Philip Klein noted. “However, Democrats may not be able to exploit this fact in the upcoming elections as much as they hope, because the independent voters overwhelmingly disapprove of their … handling of the nomination by a 28-point margin, a new CNN/SSRS poll finds.”
Surprisingly, by a margin of 10 percent, voters from Kavanaugh’s own party disapproved of his initiation into the Supreme Court.
“Overall, the numbers were less rosy for Republicans,” TheBlaze’s Carlos Garcia informed from the poll. “Only 41 percent of Americans said they wanted to see Kavanaugh confirmed, while 51 percent opposed the confirmation.”
The three sexual assault allegations presented by Democrats made Kavanaugh more unpopular of a choice for SCOTUS than America has seen for more than three decades, but the way the blue party went about defaming the nominee marred its reputation even more severely with American voters – as 20 percent more Americans believe Democrats mistreated the nominee than those who approved of his handling.
“In previous CNN polls dating back to Robert Bork in 1987, no nominee has been more deeply underwater,” Klein recounted. “What's interesting, however, is even though Democrats on the surface would seem to have public opinion on their side, just 36 percent approved of how they handled the nomination, compared to 56 percent who disapproved – Republicans were at 55 percent disapproval and 35 percent approval.”
Dems losing ground before midterms … fast
More problems for Democrats abound with less than one month before the November 6 midterms, as their previously touted so-called “blue wave” sweeping the nation is turning into a mere ripple, as their 14-percentage-point advantage in the general ballot last month has been cut in half to just 7 percentage points, according to a recent Quinnipiac University poll.
“The poll published Tuesday also found that 50 percent of voters want Democrats to win the Senate, while 43 percent want the GOP to retain control of the upper chamber,” The Hill divulged from the poll. “The lead for the Democrats has shrunk from the same poll published on Sept. 12, which found that Democrats had the support of 52 percent of respondents and Republicans were backed by 38 percent.”
A similar trend of slipping support for local House races across the nation spells more bad news for Democrats.
“The Quinnipiac University survey found that 49 percent of likely voters back the Democratic candidate in their local House race, while 42 percent support the Republican,” The Hill’s Michael Burke revealed from the poll – also indicating a diminishing lead for Democrats.
Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Time Malloy indicated the numbers show that the tsunami Democrats were predicting to last through November his diminished to little more than an ankle-deep breaker in the sand.
"The numbers suggest the big blue wave may have lost some of its momentum as House races tighten," Malloy explained on the Quinnipiac survey report.
The GOP has more reason for optimism as the midterms approach after the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, which shows that the 10-percent increase of Republican voters showing excitement about heading to the polls since July is higher than that of Democrats (2 percent).
“In July, 78 percent of Democrats said that the November elections were ‘very important,’ while only 68 percent of Republicans answered the same,” TheBlaze explained in a separate report last week. “The latest poll has 82 percent of Democrats saying the elections are ‘very important,’ and 80 percent of Republicans – placing them well within the margin error.”
Marist Institute for Public Opinion Director Lee Miringoff indicated that the diminished gap has been a likely result of Republicans getting energized by the Democrats’ attack on Kavanaugh during the SCOTUS confirmation hearings.
“The result of hearings – at least in the short run – is the Republican base was awakened,” Miringoff contended, according to TheBlaze.
Counting seats, votes and days to the election …
As Republicans continue to close in on the Democrats’ lead going into midterms, both parties and political analysts are focused on how many victories are needed on ballots in key races across the nation to retain or gain control on Capitol Hill.
“Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats to win back the House,” Burke pointed out. “To take control of the Senate, Democrats need to gain two seats, but there they face a far more challenging map – including defending 10 sitting senators in states that voted for President Trump.”
After analyzing recent polls, it is likely that Republicans and Democrats will be both winners and losers after the votes for House and Senate races are tallied on the night of November 6.
“FiveThirtyEight's prediction models give the Democrats about a 75 percent chance to win the House and Republicans a roughly 73 percent chance to keep control of the Senate,” Burke added.
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