Voters in Red states w/ shaky Sen. Dems: Confirm Trump pick

Wednesday, July 11, 2018
Michael F. Haverluck (

Brett Kavanaugh 2A new poll shows that voters in battleground states represented by vulnerable Senate Democrats decisively want President Donald Trump’s nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, to replace Anthony Kennedy in the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS).

A poll presented to the pro-life Susan B. Anthony List by the Tarrance Group surveyed more than 2,100 voters from five Trump-dominated states represented by Senate Democrats who are on shaky ground going into November’s midterm elections – 500 from Florida and at least 400 each from Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota and West Virginia – and found that Democratic leaders’ call for colleagues to kill Trump’s pick is ill-advised … at best.

Self-defeating Dems …

The poll conducted by the Tarrance Group between July 5 and 8 revealed that voters agree by a decisive margin of at least 12 percent that their senators should confirm the SCOTUS appointment Trump announced Monday night. After explaining that the U.S. Senate will vote on the president’s appointment to replace Justice Kennedy, it asked voters, “Do you think Senator [Nelson, Donnelly, McCaskill, Heitkamp, or Manchin: depending on the state] should vote to confirm President Trump’s appointment to the Supreme Court?”

And here’s what voters from the five Senate battleground states said:

  • Florida – 56 percent yes, 44 percent no
  • Indiana – 56 percent yes, 44 percent no
  • Missouri – 57 percent yes, 43 percent no
  • North Dakota – 68 percent yes, 32 percent no
  • West Virginia – 59 percent yes, 41 percent no

This advice to confirm Trump’s SCOTUS nominee goes across demographic lines – from gender to political preference.

“While there is a gender gap, women across all five states remain at 53 percent ‘yes,’ while fully 65 percent of men agree,” the Tarrance Group’s T.J. Martino explained in the poll results. “While the response is more polarized by partisanship, voters who identify or are registered as independents hold at 59 percent ‘yes.’ Similarly, a 55-percent majority of self-described ‘moderate’ voters agree their senator should confirm President Trump’s pick.”

In lieu of voters’ advice on the issue, the calling of Democratic leaders to kill Trump’s SCOTUS nominee in the vote to take place in the confirmation battle over Kavanaugh appears to be misplaced and self-destructive for the blue party.

“[V]ulnerable Senate Democrats representing Trump-dominated states would be wise to disregard the foolish SCOTUS advice being dispensed by their colleague, Dick Durbin,” Townhall’s Guy Benson advised after reviewing the poll results. “What makes Mr. Durbin’s call so striking is his frankness about the losing position his party is in, [as] he recognizes that what his party is gearing up to do – wage an all-out war on Brett Kavanaugh (on Monday Nancy Pelosi sent out a fundraising letter saying she will ‘avenge’ Barack Obama by opposing Mr. Trump’s then unannounced nominee ‘if it’s the last thing I do’) – may prove unpopular enough to cost some red-state Democratic senators their seats come November.”

This self-destructive temperament was freely admitted by the office of Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) before Trump announced his pick.

“Minority Leader Chuck Schumer's top deputy suggested over the weekend that in evaluating the president's then-unnamed Supreme Court nominee, red state Democrats should prioritize partisan opposition over their own re-election considerations,” Benson noted.

No reconsideration was made following Trump’s announcement, as Schumer himself declared that the battle is on for Democrats to depose Kavanaugh as the president’s new SCOTUS pick, calling fellow Democrats to kill the nomination.

"If we can successfully block this nomination, it could lead to a more independent, moderate selection that both parties could support," Schumer insisted, according to Fox News. “In selecting Judge Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court, President Trump has put reproductive rights and freedoms and health care protections for millions of Americans on the judicial chopping block,” he added, as reported by Newsmax. “His own writings make clear that he would rule against reproductive rights and freedoms, and that he would welcome challenges to the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act.”

Political analysts and the media are also taken aback by Democrats’ seeming willingness to self-destruct over the matter, as the Wall Street Journal’s William McGurn calls the party’s calling to depose Kavanaugh at all costs a “suicidal charge.”

“[I]t’s startling to hear a high-ranking member of the Democratic leadership call on the most vulnerable members of his own party to march into their own Valley of Death for the sake of rejecting Donald Trump’s pick to replace Anthony Kennedy on the Supreme Court,” McGurn impressed in his piece for the Wall Street Journal.

It appears that key players in the Democratic Party are more concerned about winning major battles on coveted left-wing issues such as abortion and same-sex “marriage” in the nation’s highest court than on winning at the ballot box in November.

“Ten Democratic incumbents are up for re-election in states Mr. Trump carried, [so] it’s one thing for a gadfly such as Rand Paul or Bernie Sanders to be willing to give up seats, [but] it’s another when such talk comes from the Senate minority whip, [as] Mr. Durbin is making clear that more-moderate Democrat incumbents will be dragooned into the party’s war with Mr. Trump over the Supreme Court – whether they can afford to or not,” Benson pointed out. “No doubt this approach resonates with the party’s donors and its activist wings in New York and California, [b]ut it won’t play as well in the red states where the most vulnerable Democratic senators are now fighting for their political lives.”

Maneuvering for abortion war

The new poll also asked voters in the five Senate battleground states about their take on who they believe should decide the abortion debate and whether or not Roe v. Wade should be set as the precedent where they live.

It was shown that large majorities across each of the five states surveyed agree that the people of their state – through their elected officials – should decide the abortion policy. Here is how voters responded to the question, “Do you think that the U.S. Supreme Court should decide abortion policy for [Name of State], or do you think abortion policy should be decided by the people of [Name of State] through their elected officials?”

  • Florida – 46 percent court, 54 percent elected
  • Indiana – 35 percent court, 65 percent elected
  • Missouri – 43 percent court, 57 percent elected
  • North Dakota – 33 percent court, 67 percent elected
  • West Virginia – 43 percent court, 57 percent elected

With results comparable to findings from the first question, it was found that Florida was the only state where there was less than a double-digit margin favoring elected officials deciding the abortion issue, with nearly two-thirds of Indiana voters saying the high court should stay out of the highly debated issue.

It was also divulged that regardless of the gender of voters and their political sway, most want people in their own state – not SCOTUS – to have the final word on abortion.

“The gender gap dissipates on this question, as 60 percent of men and 59 percent of women across all five states agree that the people should decide through their elected officials,” Martino divulged from the poll. “As with the previous question, independents are 59 percent for letting the people decide through elected officials, as are 63 percent of moderate voters.”


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