Dunn: Rust Belt voters ran from Obama, too

Thursday, December 29, 2016
 | 
Chad Groening, Billy Davis (OneNewsNow.com)

Trump and Obama at WH post-electionResponding to claims from the outgoing president, a political science professor says President Obama would have been disappointed in a hypothetical third run for the White House. 

"Take any one of the better potential Republican candidates and add to that Donald Trump," observes Dr. Charles Dunn. "They would have made mincemeat regarding (Obama's) policies, which are very unpopular."

Citing his popular "vision" for America, Obama said in a recent interview that he could have "mobilized a majority of American people" to win a third term if the U.S. Constitution allowed.  

Some political analysts saw that comment as a swipe at Hillary Clinton, since post-election analysis has faulted her arrogant, champagne-popping campaign for ignoring advice and warnings from grassroots Democrats.

Trump supporters in Rust BeltBut Dunn says Americans also ran from Obama's eight years in office and voted for change in Washington, D.C.

In a fictional race with Obama on the ballot, predicts Dunn, rural white voters who voted for him in 2008 and 2012 would have voted for Trump in November.

In fact, one-third of the 700 counties that twice voted for Obama voted for Trump over Clinton, politicalinsider.com reported after Election Day.

The Trump campaign declared in July that it intended to compete for the vital Electoral College votes in the Rust Belt states, Kellyanne Conway, Trump's senior advisor, stated at the time.

"I think Hillary Clinton’s comment in West Virginia, that she will, quote 'put the coal industry out of business,' reverberates westward from West Virginia," Conway said, "right through the Midwest, right through the Rust Belt states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Michigan, possibly Iowa and Wisconsin."

But the underdog, underfunded Republican nominee was predicted  to lose - and lose badly - to Clinton.  

Much like Obama's visions of Election Day grandeur, news website Politico was predicting in October that Trump's only shot was winning Ohio, "and even that is no longer the comfortable bet for Trump it appeared as recently as a month ago," the story stated. 

"Trump confronts Rust Belt rejection," the pre-Election Day headline warned.

Hillary concedesIn the state of Wisconsin, Obama defeated Mitt Romney in 2012, pulling in 1.6 million votes to 1.4 million for Romney. Four years later, 1.4 million voters – the same number who chose loser Romney - chose Trump over Clinton, who garnered 1.38 million voters and lost by approximately 22,000 votes.

Clinton never visited Wisconsin during her campaign. 

But could Obama have kept Wisconsin - and other Rust Belt states - for a third time?

Trump (May '16 pic)A post-election analysis by liberal news outlet NPR showed that Trump won 22 counties there that voted for Obama. Those counties, NPR reported, "have some of the highest unemployment rates in the state." 

The analysis also found that 12 counties in Michigan flipped to Trump and 31 of 99 Iowa counties went for the GOP nominee. Trump won Iowa's "bellwether" county of Cedar by 18 points after Obama carried it by four points in 2012, NPR found.

 

 

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