Behind in all polls, Conservatives still keep control Down Under

Tuesday, May 21, 2019
Michael F. Haverluck (

Australia flagAfter Australia’s leftist Labor Party led in every single poll leading into the election, Conservatives were able to pull out a major upset victory – keeping the liberal from seizing control of the government.

The win comes in the midst of numerous challenges faced by center-right party since it was voted into power six years ago.

“After the conservatives posted a decisive victory in 2013's federal elections, the coalition has endured a drumbeat of internal leadership turmoil, cycling through three different Prime Ministers since 2015,” Townhall recounted. “Labor mounted an aggressively critical campaign against what it called a ‘chaotic’ conservative Liberal/National government, and nationwide polls pointed to a win for the resurgent Left.”

Against all odds …

Just as the mainstream media indicated through its polls that Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton would run away with the 2016 presidential election, the media reported that all polls indicated that it was just a matter of time before the leftist Labor Party would take over Australia’s government, once again.

“Labor remains ahead of the Coalition in the final Guardian Essential poll of the 2019 campaign, and a majority of voters believe Bill Shorten will be the winner on Saturday night,” the Guardian reported last week. “The final survey of 1,201 voters has Labor in front of the Coalition 51.5 percent to 48.5 percent on the two-party preferred measure, which is the same as last week. The Coalition’s primary vote is 38.5 percent – up from 38 percent a week ago – and Labor’s is 36.2 percent (up from 34 percent)...While 59 percent of the sample believes [Labor's] Shorten will win on Saturday night, a rebound in expectations from the prevailing view last week (where 54 percent thought Labor would win), the Coalition’s messaging is more front-and-center in voter’s minds as people prepare to cast their votes.”

The foreboding numbers for conservatives gave them a glib hope heading into the election.

“Literally, every single public poll of the race taken in May showed Labor ahead by two-to-four points,” Townhall’s Guy Benson reported. “Indeed, the center-right coalition hadn't even managed a tie on the generic ballot since late 2017; their last lead was in two Augusts ago. Labor led in 54 consecutive polls.”  

But conservatives had one thing riding in their corner – small government (and less taxes).

“Against that grim backdrop, the governing conservatives launched their home stretch messaging blitz heading into the 2019 campaign's final month,” Benson added. “Their central argument to the electorate? Labor's program of tax increases and profligate spending would once again harm the Australian economy, so voters shouldn't entrust them with power.”

Similar to the Democrats’ socialist economic platform in the United States, the Labor Party in the Land Down Under tried to justify inflating taxes in order to promote social justice and “save the Earth.”

“Labor campaigned on familiar tropes about 'fairness,' and emphasizing government policies to combat climate change,” Benson noted. “The polls and the experts expected them to knock off the coalition, [a]nd then the people actually voted, producing a conventional wisdom-blasting outcome that is being compared by many observers to Brexit and the 2016 election of Donald Trump.”

The latest results in Australia parallel two aspects of the political climate to the north in the U.S.- a lack of confidence on polls and an aversion to massive government programs at taxpayers’ expense. Similar to what happened three years ago in the America, pollsters were shamed by Saturday’s results, as voters gravitated toward the candidate promising to safeguard jobs and boost the economy – not the one pushing more spending to foot the bill for exorbitant green programs.

“The center-right government of Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison held onto power Saturday after a surprise surge in national elections that left some pundits making comparisons to President Trump’s poll-defying win in 2016,” the Washington Post announced Monday. “The apparent upset victory was the latest election to trample predictions by polling firms, which all showed Morrison’s political bloc trailing the opposition Labor Party. It also carried other uncanny parallels with Trump’s rise. In Australia’s coal country, Morrison was seen as an ally to protect jobs against a push for more renewable energy and greater efforts to battle climate change. Morrison drew further support with promises of tax cuts and a tough line on immigration, contrasting with Labor’s call for more social programs and less-stringent migrant policies. The Labor leader, Bill Shorten, conceded defeat as election returns tipped the scales against him.”

The win for conservatives was so unexpected in Australia that the gambling industry even expressed shock.

“Confidence was so high in a Labor victory that one betting agency, Sportsbet, said about 70 percent of the wagers were for Labor to regain control after six years in opposition,” the leftist daily continued.

Zareh Ghazarian – a political science lecturer at Monash University in Melbourne, Australia, was thoroughly surprised by the election results.

“This is a complete shock!” Ghazarian exclaimed, according to the Post. “We have completely expected an opposite thing for two years. Voters rejected the big picture. They have endorsed a government that has run on a very presidential campaign and on its management of the economy.”

The mainstream media lamented the fact that the expected billions and trillions expected to be funneled from taxpayers into the green industry would have to wait at least a few more years.

“The reelection of Morrison’s government will mean that Australia will set much less ambitious goals in cutting emissions of greenhouse gases,” the largest leftist daily in Washington, D.C., pointed out. “It will also be firmly supportive of U.S.-led efforts to contain the influence of China and block Chinese technology giant Huawei from government contracts. Morrison was one of the architects of Australia’s tough approach on asylum seekers...In the end, Morrison’s regular-guy political persona – he was the first Australian prime minister to campaign in baseball caps — and promises to cut taxes proved unexpectedly effective.”

However, Trump was elated by the news.

“Congratulations to Scott on a GREAT WIN!” Trump tweeted Australian Prime Minister Morrison on Saturday.

Morrison credited “quiet Australians” for delivering his conservative party the victory while addressing supporters at a victory speech, calling it a “miraculous” triumph.

The conservative media is anxious to see if a repeat of what happened in America and Down Under will take place in the United Kingdom.

“Up next in international political drama: Will the brand-new ‘Brexit’ Party prevail in the UK's upcoming EU Parliamentary elections?” Benson posed. “It seems the Tory government's dysfunction, and the Labour opposition's incoherence, on delivering the British people's 2016 Brexit mandate has inspired voters to look elsewhere. Meanwhile, are the stars aligning for a bona fide Brexiteer to become the next Prime Minister in Westminster, as Mrs. May charts her departure path?”


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